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Not seeing strong climate signals or patterns as what the season will bring. Noted that the presence and strength of El Nino will play a role in how the winter ultimately unfolds across the country, but said there is currently no sign that anything dramatic is in the offing at this time.The approach generally provides for a firmer track record in an arena of forecasting that still remains on shaky footing. But the CPC approach is also limiting because of the agency reluctance to place much weight on new research.While recent research has shown a strong correlation between autumn snow in Siberia and harsher North American winters, for example, Halpert said it does not factor much, if at all, into their forecast because of a small sample size.NJ FORECAST: Above average precipitation and an equal chance of above average or below average temperatures.LAST YEAR ACCURACY: Poor.
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