UFC 107 Analysis And Prediction For The BJ Penn Versus Diego Sanchez Fight

Without a doubt, BJ "The Prodigy" Penn is the greatest 155 pound on the globe. There isn't any one inch the division that may touch him. Most 155 pound fighters can't even touch him BUT Diego "Nightmare" Sanchez is not a 155 pound fighter.

It may be surprising to many that you will choose Diego Sanchez to overpower BJ Penn but he has problems with bigger fighters and he has difficulties with fighters that like to press the action. That as well as the +220 online sports betting odds, leads me to put my money on the underdog within this fight.

Diego can be a slightly better wrestling and he's got better striking. The real determining aspect in why he'll win this fight is pace. Diego Sanchez will push the pace with the fight and that he will pressure the fights. BJ Penn likes to control his mixed martial arts fights but when a fighter takes control of the pace usually they are capable of dictate and beat BJ.

Also BJ Penn has problems with fighters that are bigger and stronger than him. Penn lost to Georges St Pierre twice because GSP was bigger and he pushed the pace with the fight. Penn lost to Matt Hughes as they wasn't in form and nearby the end in the fight Hughes pushed the pace and that he would be a bigger fighter.

Diego Sanchez can be a big 155 pound fighter. He is commonly a welterweight fighter and may even fight at middleweight if he planned to. He will cut a great deal of weigh entering this fight and after his weight cut, Sanchez will in all probability be at 170 pounds fight day. He will probably be an extremely larger plus much more powerful fighter anf the husband will pose Penn some problems because of Diego's size.

Size may play big role in this fight, and Penn has not done so well with fighters which can be larger than him. BJ dominates same size fighters like he did with Kenny Florian and Sean Sherk. But remember Sanchez is the bigger fighter and that is a major factor when fighting BJ Penn.

Diego is really a fighter which is always healthy and the man will pressure Penn once the fight starts. He is going to be capable to back Penn with his aggressive pressure and confuse him regarding his strikes and kicks. After the initial two rounds Penn will be exhausted always keeping track of Diego's' pace. When Penn fought Matt Hughes the next time he was dominating him but by round 3 he was out of gas and Hughes turned it up. His last fight with St Pierre he was getting thrown off his game and by round 4 he can't continue. If Diego can push the pace he can tire out Penn and make fight inside the latter rounds.

While many people have to have a decade or even more to become a black belt, Penn got his black belt with only 36 months of coaching. BJ Penn is renowned for his jiu-jitsu in case you appear at his record in MMA he wins all of his fights by rear naked choke. Now if you break up his grappling game he dominates the grappling game as he is equal in weight. If Diego Sanchez were exactly the same weight and dimensions he probably would dominate your struggle.

However, Diego isn't slouch on a lawn. His no gi game is excellent and has even competed at the ADCC 2005 Absolute Division championships. The Abu Dhabi could be the most prestigious grapping tournament on earth which can be something BJ Penn has not competed in before. Diego won his first fight in the ADCC and lost his second fight to Marcelo Garcia that is regarded as being one with the best grapplers in the world. That was when Diego never even competed using a gi before. In 2005, Sanchez wrestled for his senior high school in New Mexico before beginning training MMA with Greg Jackson at Jackson's Submission Fighting which is considered to be the best MMA trainer in the world. Despite never employing a gi in grappling Diego features a very tight grappling game.

Striking wise you will need to give you a slight edge to Diego. Diego will have the reach and power advantage within the striking. He will probably be the greater fighter and that he can push off and jab his punches so BJ Penn will not to go into close. Technically BJ Penn is often a better striker with better fundamentals but he will be wrongly identified as the sheer level of strikes and the reach.

Bottom Line: Remember Diego Sanchez would be a format member in the Greg Jackson team and Jackson was within the corner when GSP fought Penn so Sanchez will fight a similar fight that St Pierre fought. Sanchez will likely be prepared for this fight and the man will shock many.

I love the belief that Sanchez could be the bigger, stronger plus much more aggressive fighter. These are the three factors that BJ Penn has troubles with in fighters. UFC sports betting wise the +220 betting chances are perfect and I would lay a small amount about the money line for Diego to win this fight. I don't think Diego has the ability to knock out Penn or the grappling skill to sub him but he has hold the power and strength to win the stand sboarena and acquire the take down points.

He also offers the skill in top position to have an effective ground and pound. If he could be in Penn's guard, he will perform the identical thing GSP did and make use of his size and capacity to punish Penn. The Ribeiro brothers will demonstrate him the best way to fight effectively in the guard. If Diego stays within the top position the guy can control the bottom game. If Penn is to it will likely be over. However, Penn could have a difficult time getting top position or taking Diego's back since he will be the bigger stronger fighter.

I do believe Diego does not possess the skills to overpower Penn but he has the stamina and capacity to hurt Penn and convey this fight late into the rounds. By the time Penn hits the forth round he will be gassed and that is when Sanchez will take over. The best bet is to bet for the UFC prop bet for Diego to win by decision. He will hurt and confuse Penn regarding his strikes and kicks. BJ will not be in a position to close the distance as they is the smaller fighter. BJ Penn has a lot to appear out for with this fight like strikes, kicks, takedowns and also the ground and pound while Sanchez only has to worry not giving up his back or being about the bottom.

Look for Diego Sanchez to be the New UFC Lightweight Champion having a Split Decision

Written by Stan Leung and brought to you by .