UFC 107 Analysis And Prediction For The BJ Penn Versus Diego Sanchez Fight

Without a doubt, BJ "The Prodigy" Penn is the best 155 pound in the world. There isn't any one out of the division that can touch him. Most 155 pound fighters can't even touch him BUT Diego "Nightmare" Sanchez is not a 155 pound fighter.

It could be surprising to most that you would choose Diego Sanchez to get over BJ Penn but he has problems with bigger fighters and he's got issues with fighters that they like to press the action. That along with the +220 online sports betting odds, leads me to get my cash on the underdog with this fight.

Diego is often a slightly better wrestling and she has better striking. The real determining aspect in why he will win this fight is pace. Diego Sanchez will push the pace with the fight anf the husband will pressure the fights. BJ Penn likes to control his ufc fights when a fighter takes control from the pace they are in a position to dictate and beat BJ.

Also BJ Penn has difficulty with fighters which can be bigger and stronger than him. Penn lost to Georges St Pierre twice because GSP was bigger and that he pushed the pace of the fight. Penn lost to Matt Hughes because he had not been fit and at the end from the fight Hughes pushed the pace anf the husband would have been a bigger fighter.

Diego Sanchez is a big 155 pound fighter. He is commonly a welterweight fighter and can even fight at middleweight if he wanted to. He will cut a lot of weigh getting into this fight and after his weight cut, Sanchez will most likely be at 170 pounds fight day. He will probably be a significantly larger plus much more powerful fighter anf the husband will pose Penn some problems because of Diego's size.

Size may play big role on this fight, and Penn has not done this well with fighters which might be bigger than him. BJ dominates same size fighters like he did with Kenny Florian and Sean Sherk. But remember Sanchez could be the bigger fighter and that can be a major factor when fighting BJ Penn.

Diego is a fighter that's always fit and that he will pressure Penn as soon as the fight starts. He will probably be able to back Penn on top of his aggressive pressure and confuse him along with his strikes and kicks. After the first 2 rounds Penn is going to be exhausted always keeping with Diego's' pace. When Penn fought Matt Hughes the 2nd time he was dominating him but by round 3 he was out of gas and Hughes turned it up. His last fight with St Pierre he was getting thrown off his game and by round 4 he cannot continue. If Diego can push the pace he'll tire out Penn and make fight within the latter rounds.

While most people desire a decade or higher to become black belt, Penn got his black belt with only three years of education. BJ Penn is renowned for his jiu-jitsu but when you peer at his record in MMA he wins all his fights by rear naked choke. Now if you break up his grappling game he dominates the grappling game as he is equal in weight. If Diego Sanchez were exactly the same weight and dimensions he probably would dominate the fight.

However, Diego is no slouch on the ground. His no gi game is very good and has even competed at the ADCC 2005 Absolute Division championships. The Abu Dhabi is the most prestigious grapping tournament on the planet which can be something BJ Penn never competed in before. Diego won his first fight at the ADCC and lost his second fight to Marcelo Garcia who is considered to be one from the best grapplers in the world. That was when Diego never even competed with a gi before. In 2005, Sanchez wrestled for his senior high school in New Mexico prior to starting training MMA with Greg Jackson at Jackson's Submission Fighting which is regarded as being the top MMA trainer on the planet. Despite never utilizing a gi in grappling Diego includes a very tight grappling game.

Striking wise you have to offer a slight edge to Diego. Diego could have the reach and power advantage inside the striking. He is going to be the bigger fighter anf the husband can push off and jab his punches so BJ Penn will not to get in close. Technically BJ Penn is a better striker with better fundamentals but he can be confused with the sheer level of strikes as well as the reach.

Bottom Line: Remember Diego Sanchez was obviously a format member with the Greg Jackson team and Jackson was inside corner when GSP fought Penn so Sanchez will fight an identical fight that St Pierre fought. Sanchez will likely be prepared for this fight and that he will shock many.

I love the fact Sanchez will be the bigger, stronger plus much more aggressive fighter. These are the three factors that BJ Penn has troubles with in fighters. UFC sports betting wise the +220 betting odds are perfect and sboarena I would lay a smaller amount about the money line for Diego to win this fight. I don't think Diego has the power to knock out Penn or perhaps the grappling skill to sub him but she has hold the power and strength to win the stand and get the take down points.

He even offers the skill in top position to have effective ground and pound. If he or she is in Penn's guard, he'll almost certainly do the identical thing GSP did and use his size and chance to punish Penn. The Ribeiro brothers can have him the best way to fight effectively within the guard. If Diego stays inside the top position they can control the floor game. If Penn is on it will probably be over. However, Penn could have a difficult time getting top position or taking Diego's back since he could be the bigger stronger fighter.

I do believe Diego does not contain the skills to get over Penn but he's the stamina and chance to hurt Penn and provide this fight late in to the rounds. By the time Penn hits the forth round he'll be gassed and that's when Sanchez will need over. The best bet is to bet about the UFC prop bet for Diego to win by decision. He will hurt and confuse Penn with his strikes and kicks. BJ won't be in a position to close the distance while he could be the smaller fighter. BJ Penn has a lot to check out for with this fight like strikes, kicks, takedowns and also the ground and pound while Sanchez has only to be concerned not letting go of his back or being on the bottom.

Look for Diego Sanchez being the New UFC Lightweight Champion which has a Split Decision

Written by Stan Leung and brought to you by .